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After the 2016 presidential election, political science expert Nate Silver wrote that, since the swing states are not likely to support any plan that might reduce their influence over control of the White House, the National Popular Vote bill will not succeed unless the predominately Republican red states adopt it. All other votes cast for that candidate are therefore superfluous. It would eliminate the threat of a faithless elector. In fact, the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which has now been adopted by 15 states and the District of Columbia, totaling 196 electoral votes, is an actionable and realistic . If you need to flag this entry as abusive. The plan would not get rid of the Electoral College. sale of united methodist church property. Hence, the National Popular Vote plan is an interstate compact a type of state law authorized by the U.S. Constitution that enables states to enter into a legally enforceable, contractual obligation to undertake agreed joint actions, which may be delayed in implementation until a requisite number of states join in. Start and finish your paper with ease. On April 15, 2014 Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York State quietly signed into law the National Popular Vote, making New York the 10th state -- along with the District of Columbia -- to support this effort, while also boosting the total numbers to 165 of the 270 electoral votes needed to make a true national popular vote a reality. That means every state is allowed a minimum of 3 electoral votes. Under the current structure of presidential elections in the U.S., the states become a battleground of red states vs. blue states. NCSL conducts policy research in areas ranging from agriculture and budget and tax issues to education and health care to immigration and transportation. There are logistical issues that are managed at the local level in each election. It would eliminate the Congressional provisions for a non-majority election. The one-vote approach does not align with the way the electoral votes operates. Probably the NPV Compact would be enacted into law with as little as a simple majority of the states and possibly even less. As the National Popular Vote (NPV) movement steps up its effort to impose a direct election for president, attempting to enlist states with a sufficient number of electors to constitute a majority (268) and to bind them to the winner of the national popular vote, those states considering the proposal might first reflect on the nightmare aftermath That would likely reduce the number of voters who cast a ballot in each election as most people are more concerned about local impacts than national policies. The lack of competition and campaigning in a majority of states owes itself not to the existence of the Electoral College's indirect method of choosing presidents but rather to the winner-take-all method of choosing electors in all but two states. More attention is given to the swing states, such as Florida and Iowa, which causes the third problem the Electoral College can cause. The itineraries of presidential candidates in battleground states (and their allocation of other campaign resources) demonstrate what every gubernatorial or senatorial candidate in every state already knows namely that when every vote matters, the campaign must be run in every part of the state. Under the electoral college system, the candidates which receive the most votes in each state (or district) receive its assigned electoral votes. Americans are still bent up and flustered on how an individual could lose the popular vote, but still, be given the upper hand in Electoral College votes. Part of HuffPost Politics. Constitutional Amendment to Guarantee the Right to Vote for All U.S. Citizens. Electing a president who did not have broad regional support could lead to a fractured and less cohesive country, according to the Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Politicians would focus on fewer swing states (Bigger states more potential votes) Under the current structure of the electoral college, the focus of a presidential campaign is on the so-called battleground states. Privacy Policy. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Instead of a direct popular election, the United States has the Electoral College, a group of electors who represent each state's votes. Regional candidates could secure enough votes to win a national election. If the presidential election were switched to the popular vote, then it would only take about 35% of the vote for a candidate to win. Here are the Cons of the Electoral College 1. For more information, please see our Change). Maryland and New Jersey passed this bill in 2007, Hawaii and Illinois in 2008, Washington in 2009, Massachusetts and the District of Columbia in 2010, California and Vermont in 2011, Rhode Island in 2013, New York in 2014 and Connecticut in 2018. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. The Electoral College distorts presidential campaigns . (See: Electoral Votes by State). While we look further into the National Popular Vote, lets investigate some of its pro and cons for the American democracy. Nevada passed the legislation in 2019, but Gov. Not only it already happened five times, but in theory, a candidate could win the presidency with only 22% of the popular vote in a two-candidates race. List of the Cons of Proportional Representation. It awards all the bonus votes to the winner of the popular vote. I fear that most, if not all, of the states signing onto the NPV Compact will be just blue states. Voters in spectator states, including five of the nations 10 most populous states (California, Texas, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey), and 12 of the 13 least populous states (all but New Hampshire) have no real incentive to go to the polls as their votes do not affect the outcome of the election. But if we set politics aside and focus on what is really best for democracy in our country in the long run I believe that the advantages of using the NPV compact to elect our president outweigh the disadvantages and the best way to elect our president in the 21st century is by direct popular vote using Ranked Choice Voting. There are a number of pros for this method. The Electoral College is made up of 538 electors and a majority of 270 electoral votes is mandatory to nominate the President. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC) is an agreement among a group of U.S. states and the District of Columbia to award all their electoral votes to whichever presidential ticket wins the overall popular vote in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. It sees a healthy and vibrant democracy needing the underpinnings of civil society that rests on the sustained and active engagement of the citizenry and promotes approaches that seek to maximize that involvement. Definition and Examples. tobin james the blend 2017 ; real estate marketing solutions; cons of the national popular vote plan; lassi kefalonia shops cons of the national popular vote plan How the National Popular Vote Plan Would Work. Evidence as to how a nationwide presidential campaign would be run can be found by examining the way presidential candidates currently campaign inside battleground states. 7. In summary, a popular vote is simply a vote in which the individual or issue with the most total votes from a population of voters is the winner. The votes of those who do not live in closely divided battleground states effectively count less. The National Popular Vote initiative transpired in 2006. Get breaking news and updates from Common Cause. On average, studies show that falls in line with historical averages showing around 60 percent of eligible voters casting a vote in presidential election years. What would happen during a switch to the popular vote would be unknown. The states' approval of the compact is a victory for democracy and the principle of "one person, one vote." on Advantages and Disadvantages of the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, Follow All U.S. Citizens Should Vote. Longley, Robert. The candidate who placed second in the popular vote was elected in 2016, 2000, 1888, 1876, and 1824. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. This National Popular Vote Compact wouldn't take effect until states with 270 electors a majority joined in. An individuals vote doesnt make a difference when it is counted against the votes of the delegates in the House of Representatives and Senate. Around six-in-ten U.S. adults (63%) say the way the president is elected should be changed so that the winner of the popular vote nationwide wins the presidency, while 35% favor keeping the current Electoral College system, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted June 27-July 4, 2022. Post author: Post published: June 29, 2022 Post category: Uncategorized Post comments: paris apartment eiffel tower view for sale paris apartment eiffel tower view for sale The National Popular Vote stems from the winner-take-all approach that validates the presidential candidate interactions with only 4 out of 50 dates during their campaign. Menu burger Close thin Facebook Twitter Google plus Linked in Reddit Email arrow-right-sm arrow-right Loading Home Buying Calculators The winner would receive one vote per congressional district won with the winner of the state popular vote gaining a two electoral votes. [Add switching votes of losing party to the other partys voter totals in every state using the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system (except for 5 EC votes in Maine and Nebraska that are awarded proportionally instead of by Winner-Take-All.]. First it would be relatively easy to implement. Among the others: By its very size and scope, a national direct election will lead to nothing more than a national media campaign, which would propel the parties' media consultants to inflict upon the entire nation what has been heretofore limited to the so-called battleground states: an ever-escalating, distorted arms race of tit-for-tat unanswerable attack advertising polluting the airwaves, denigrating every candidate and eroding citizen faith in their leaders and the political process as a whole. Cookie Notice The electoral requires that an election which does not receive a majority of electoral votes be taken into the U.S. House of Representatives. The electoral college encourages a two-party system and rewards candidates who have broad appeal. However, in the popular vote, Trump only received 62,984,825 votes against Hillary Clinton's 65,853,516 popular votes. National Popular Vote - Pros and Cons "The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in the entire U.S. But for those people who feel that changing how we elect the president should only be done by constitutional amendment they will feel that using the NPV Compact will undermine the legitimacy of the process even though its perfectly legal and constitutional. The issue raised by the National Popular Vote campaign is fundamental: What kind of a democracy should America be? Currently, candidates focus more on swing and battleground states to help them gain those electoral votes. Make a contribution to support Common Cause today. The country thinks we are going to elect the president using the Electoral College/Winner-Take-All system tans and then four months before the election we change to the National Popular Vote Compact system and elect the president by whoever gets the most popular votes. Would it aid a fight to eliminate first past the post or would it further entrench the established party system voters American voters have expressed disdain for. The electoral college leads to a heavy emphasis on swing states and also typically over-represents citizens in rural states. 41 States (with 80% of U.S. population) will be Ignored in the 2024 Presidential Election. On a close popular vote, often defined as a difference of 0.5% or less in the tabulated results, an automatic recount would likely be triggered. The compact is designed to ensure that the candidate who receives the most votes nationwide is elected president, and it . An electoral college would solve . That effectively means that votes in the the 75% of the country that are in swing states effectively dont count at all. Note: Today we are in a phase where the popular vote in presidential elections leans Democratic. These are the states that may go to either major party candidate in the election. Under the electoral college system, if a state consistently pulls as leaning to one party, someone who supports the other party may not vote because they feel like there isnt a need to do so. A popular vote structure would virtually eliminate the idea of a third-party candidate having a chance in an election. Richards earned a master's degree at Carnegie Mellon University. Over the long run the countrys popular vote in presidential elections has roughly been equally split between Republican and Democratic.*. When a popular vote is held for a national office, the election becomes more about platform issues than local issues. and our The last amendment, the 27th Amendment to the Constitution, was ratified nearly 200 years after it was originally proposed. The NPVC is a proposed interstate compact in which the signatory states agree that they will appoint their presidential electors in accordance with the national popular vote rather than their own state electorate's vote. Pros & Cons of a National Popular Vote Buy Complete Issue $19.95 Login or Subscribe The National Popular Vote How would the interstate compact work? A direct popular election would make it more possible for third-party candidates to succeed and would also encourage political parties to become more radical and extreme. In the U.S., that means people who lean Democratic live in urban areas, while people who lean Republican live in rural areas. The popular vote currently gives every citizenCalifornians and Texans, Hawaiians and Mainers, Alabamans and Oregoniansan equal say in choosing the president. 2. Do you have information you want to share with HuffPost? The Electoral College system - the way we really elect our president - has always had its detractors and lost even more public support after the 2016 election, when it became apparent that President-ElectDonald Trump might have lost the nationwide popular vote to Sec. cons of the national popular vote plan. All in all, the Electoral College causes many problems that seem unfair to American voters during such an important election. Today, many electors are bound to vote according to their states' popular vote results, and those who aren't almost always do. Surprisingly enough, the National Popular Vote bill could possibly bring forth some problems. https://www.thoughtco.com/the-national-popular-vote-plan-3322047 (accessed March 4, 2023). 8. OKLAHOMA CITY Oklahomans will head to the polls March 7 to decide if the state will become the 22nd in the country to legalize recreational marijuana for use by anyone 21 and older. mike matarazzo last photo. This brings us to 196 of the 270 electoral votes needed to activate the pact. And unlike direct elections, either would provide an incentive for grass-roots activity, coalition building and enhanced citizen participation. The country could become less stable and divided if he or she did not have a vast amount of support (Richards). These battleground or swing states receive 7% more federal grants, twice as many presidential disaster declarations, more Superfund enforcement exemptions, and more No Child Left Behind law exemptions (National Popular Vote). Under the system of proportional representation, any party with a high enough percentage of the vote will receive a seat in the government. Although faithless electors have not affected the results or outcome of an election yet, in 2016, there were 7 faithless electors. 1. It would eliminate superfluous votes. But with the NPV Compact a change in party control of just one or two states could restore the old system of electing the president and then four years later it could be changed back. That is hardly a mandate for governing, though it would be taken as such. Because every vote is equal inside Ohio or Florida, presidential candidates avidly seek out voters in small, medium, and large towns. The Supreme Court has said in local and state elections voting should be based on the principle of one person one vote. Without any sort of broad support, the politics of the country could become even more fractured than they already are. I will explain that in another blog post. Since 2008, 15 states and the District of Columbia have passed laws to adopt the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (NPVIC), which is an multi-state agreement to commit electors to. It understands that while the nation is one union, it is also an amalgam of varying experiences and perspectives arrived at via the settings and unique problems surrounding those who live in different places, and that these differences fall within the broad rubric of federalism. However, many people believe that a direct popular election is more democratic and fair than the Electoral College. That would increase the amount of polarization being experienced in politics today because there would be less of a need to compromise. Is this a solution to first past the post or is it merely reinforcing our current two party system? 2. National Popular Vote (NPV) was founded in 2006 by lottery scratch-card inventor John Koza and election lawyer Barry Fadem to lobby for an "interstate compact" for states to deliver their electoral votes for President to the "winner" of the national popular vote. In addition, the bill has been unanimously approved at the committee level in the states of Georgia and Missouri, controlling a combined 27 electoral votes. NPV supporters claim, accurately, that a direct election for president would reduce or eliminate the possibility that a fringe candidate (like a Ralph Nader or Ron Paul) winning five percent or less of the vote in a single state could serve to defeat a major party candidate from the same side of the political spectrum. As a result, the bill will take effect when enacted by states possessing an additional 74 electoral votes. ThoughtCo, Dec. 16, 2020, thoughtco.com/the-national-popular-vote-plan-3322047. But sometime in the future the popular vote will change back and lean Republican. Their answer is simple: one in which every citizen's vote is equal to every other citizen's vote and one in which the winner of the presidential popular vote, no matter how small his or her percentage is of those who voted, would be elected. There are pros and cons to both systems. The official 2016 election results from the Electoral College gave Donald J. Trump the victory with 306 electoral votes v. Hillary Clinton's 232 votes. National Popular Vote values rural and urban voters equally. Rural voters would almost always be in the minority. Weve already seen this issue take place with the GOP primaries in 2016. 5. Con:not Eliminate possibility that loser of the popular vote can still win the electoral vote The Proportional Plan A proposed reform where each presidential candidate would receive the percent of electoral votes that they win from each state Proportional Plan Pro:Possible for loser of popular vote to win presidency. Yes. Opines that the national popular vote plan is the wrong way to abolith the electoral college. And finally, the Electoral College doesnt work today anywhere near how the Founding Fathers intended it to work when they created it back in 1787. Under the electoral college, the majority votes of states assign electoral votes to a candidate, which then creates a majority total required for a victory. As the National Popular Vote (NPV) movement steps up its effort to impose a direct election for president, attempting to enlist states with a sufficient number of electors to constitute a majority (268) and to bind them to the winner of the national popular vote, those states considering the proposal might first reflect on the nightmare aftermath of the 2000 presidential election. Join the thousands across the country who instantly rally when there is a threat to our democracy. At the moment, 98 more electoral votes are needed to pass this bill in all 50 states (National Conference of State Legislators). 8. (LogOut/ Definition and Examples, Learn How Many Total Electoral Votes There Are. Web. Hillary Clinton, but won the electoral vote to become the 45thPresident of the United States. 4. List of the Cons of Using the Popular Vote 1. The second advantage is that the all votes would be equally weighed (Richards). The principal flaw in the plan is its assumption that under the plan there will still be only two major parties competing for the presidency in 2020. . 622 By John Samples The National Popular Vote plan (NPV), introduced in more than 40 states, and adopted. Using a popular vote system, candidates could campaign regionally, targeting major areas of support, to secure enough votes to win an election. A plan to enact the National Popular Vote was introduced in the Michigan Legislature on Wednesday. For the 7 presidential elections between 1992-2016, the Republican candidate has won the Electoral college 3 times. Watch out! Heres how. Wyoming had just 3 electoral votes, but only had 255,000 voters as well. Or states might explore what was recently proposed in Colorado -- that electors be allocated in proportion to each candidate's share of the popular vote above a certain threshold. Before the 2016 election, the largest vote deficit in the popular vote was Al Gore securing over 500,000 votes more than George W. Bush. Only Nebraska and Maine do not. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.
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